The UK goes to the polls on December 12 to elect a new Parliament. In the past few weeks, leaders from the main parties have discussed a wide range of topics, including Brexit, the NHS, crime, economy and immigration. Express.co.uk tracks the latest from the opinion polls ahead of the December 12 snap election.
The latest polling average has the Conservative Party on 43.2 percent compared to Labour’s 32.8 percent.
This 10.4 point lead is now higher than former Prime Minister Theresa May’s lead at this point in the 2017 campaign.
Although the numbers show Labour slightly starting to narrow the gap to the Conservatives, that does not necessarily mean Jeremy Corbyn’s party is seeing a surge in support, polling guru John Curtice said.
He told the BBC’s Radio 4 Today programme: ”The Labour Party has made progress primarily by increasing its support amongst Remain voters at the expense of the Liberal Democrats by five points or so.
“So, although we have seen the electorate move, the consequence for the race for Number 10 has so far basically been zero because Conservatives and Labour have simply matched each other.
“In other words, very few people have actually changed their mind in such a way that they’re now backing a pro-Brexit party when they were voting for a pro-second referendum party four weeks ago, or vice-versa.”
Below is a rundown of all the latest polls.
READ MORE: General Election predictor shows who will win in YOUR area
Election polls tracker LIVE: Boris Johnson has received a massive boost ahead of the election (Image: GETTY)
Electoral Calculus
The latest polling from Electoral Calculus shows support from the Conservatives slightly up from the last poll.
According to the prediction, the Tories would win a majority of 46 votes and 43.5 percent of the votes.
The Labour party would secure 32.7 percent of the votes and 225 seats of the 650-seat big Parliament.
Election polls tracker LIVE: The latest poll from Electoral Calculus (Image: ELECTORAL CALCULUS)
The latest Electoral Calculus prediction was based on opinion polls from December 2 to 7, sampling 10,827 people:
- Conservative: 43.5 percent
- Labour: 32.7 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 12.5 percent
- Brexit Party: 2.9 percent
- Green Party: 2.3 percent
- SNP: 3.7 percent
- Plaid Cymru: 0.6 percent
- UKIP: 0 percent
- Other: 1.9 percent
Ipsos MORI
The November 2019 Ipsos MORI Issues Index shows public concern about the NHS pulling level with worries about Brexit.
According to the polling, the proportion of Britons who say the NHS is one of the most important issues facing the country has risen 18 percentage points since October to 54 percent.
This is close to Brexit which has fallen by six points to 57 percent this month.
The levels of public concern about Brexit and the NHS are now at a similar level for the first time since mid-2018.
Mike Clemence, Research Manager at Ipsos MORI, said: “This month’s Issues Index appears to show a refocus in public concerns, coinciding with the campaign for next month’s election.
Election polls tracker LIVE: The latest poll from Ipsos MORI (Image: Ipsos MORI)
“While Brexit remains the biggest national concern, its importance has dipped somewhat and there has been a sharp growth in the proportion who see the NHS as a major issue for the country.
“Election time has also seen increases in the proportions concerned about the economy and education, while worry about crime and the environment has dipped.
“New questions on the index show that public priorities differ dependent on how issues are framed: while Brexit is the biggest concern nationally the NHS is considered the most significant issue for Britons’ families.
“However, when we ask which issue is the most important influence on how people might vote, half say Brexit and one third say it is the NHS.”
The index also revealed concern about crime and pollution has fallen while worry about the economy has spiked.
Elsewhere in the top ten for November, public concern about the environment and crime has dropped while concern about the education and the economy has risen by three and seven percentage points respectively.
Ipso’s MORI surveyed 1,010 British adults between November 8 to 24.
Election polls tracker LIVE: The latest voting intentions in Wales (Image: YouGov)
YouGov
The latest polling from YouGov shows the Conservatives are on course to make “significant gains” in Wales.
The poll, conducted by YouGov for ITV, shows the Tories closing the gap on Labour and winning eight seats from the party.
Labour is still ahead overall but is in danger of losing some marginal seats.
The latest poll, based on information from 1,020 British adults interviewed between December 6 to 9, shows:
- Labour: 40 percent
- Conservative: 37 percent
- Plaid Cymru: 10 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 6 percent
- Brexit Party: 5 percent
- Green Party: 1 percent
- Other: 1 percent
Election polls tracker LIVE: Polling from Britain elects (Image: BRITAIN ELECTS)
Britain elects
The latest polling from Britain elects – a live average tracker of British Polling Council pollsters – shows Tories taking a slight jump ahead of Labour:
- Conservative: 42.8 percent
- Labour: 33.1 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 12.5 percent
- Brexit Party: 3.1 percent
- Green Party 2.9 percent
- SNP, Plaid Cymru and others: 5.7 percent
Election polls tracker LIVE: The latest polls from Survation for Good Morning Britain (Image: SURVATION)
Survation
Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s Conservatives party are up to 45 percent according to a Survation poll for Good Morning Britain, published on Monday.
The Tories extended its lead over the Labour Party to 14 percentage points, up from nine percentage points a week ago.
The poll put Mr Johnson’s party on 45 percent, up two points, compared to Labour’s 31 percent, down two points, before Thursday’s election.
The telephone poll of 1,012 respondents was conducted between December 5 and 7:
- Conservative: 45 percent
- Labour: 31 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 11 percent
- Brexit Party: 4 percent
- Green Party: 2 percent
- SNP, Plaid Cymru and others: 7 percent
Savanta ComRes
The latest polling from Savanta Comres, which interviewed 6,073 British adults online from December6 to 8 reveals:
- Conservative: 43 percent
- Labour: 36 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 12 percent
- Brexit Party: 3 percent
- Green Party 2 percent
- SNP: 4 percent
- Others: 1 percent
Election polls tracker LIVE: Voting intention from Poll of Polls (Image: POLL OF POLLS)
Poll of polls
The latest polling data and projections from POLITICO Poll of Polls shows:
- Conservative: 43 percent
- Labour: 33 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 12 percent
- SNP: 4 percent
- Brexit Party: 3 percent
- Green Party: 2 percent
- UKIP: 1 percent
- Plaid Cumry: 0 percent
- Change UK: 0 percent
Opinium
There is not much movement in the Opinium polls and the Conservative lead has remained at 15 points with 46 percent of the vote share.
The polling was conducted between December 4 to 6 and Opinium interview 2,002 UK adults:
- Conservative: 46 percent
- Labour: 31 percent
- Liberal Democrats: 13 percent
- SNP: 4 percent
- Green Party: 3 percent
- Brexit Party: 2 percent
- Plaid Cymru: 0 perfect
- UKIP: 0 percent
- Other: 1 percent
Election polls tracker LIVE: General election overall majority odds from Betfair Exchange (Image: BETFAIR)
Odds
Overall Majority Betfair Exchange Odds
- Tory Majority – 1/3
- No overall Majority – 3/1
- Labour Majority – 41/1
Betfair Spokesperson Katie Baylis said: “Boris Johnson’s reaction yesterday to questions over the NHS have not impressed a lot of people and it seems punters on the Betfair Exchange might be among them with the Tories odds of an overall majority lengthening over night from 1/4 to 1/3, while no overall majority is now at 3/1 from 4/1 this time yesterday.
“While the Tories are still heavily favoured for the win, their advisors will know that any further gaffes from the PM could have an impact even with just 48 hours to go.”
