Sports

Three EFL play-off winners predicted with outsiders tipped to cause upsets


The play-offs, the EFL’s showpiece end-of-season event, get underway next week.

Twelve teams will be battling it out across three divisions for the right to seal their place in a higher league for next season.

Brentford, Bournemouth, Swansea and Barnsley are all fighting for the chance to join Norwich and Watford in the Premier League.

In League One, Blackpool, Sunderland, Oxford and Lincoln are scrapping for promotion into the Championship. And in League Two, Morecambe, Tranmere, Forest Green and Newport will be competing to move into the third tier.

Plenty of pundits will be having their say on who they think will come out on top, but a new study has come up with the three Wembley ‘winners’ using analytical data.



Wembley will be the setting once again for all three play-off finals

Boffins at BettingOdds.com have analysed the head-to-head records of all sides competing in this year’s play-offs to determine which three sides will be promoted from their individual leagues.

The projection determines that Swansea, Sunderland and Forest Green Rovers will all be promoted from the Championship, League One and League Two respectively.

The method used to project the winners involved analysing the all-time head-to-head records between each team competing in the semi-finals. They then added together each side’s points-per-game record as both the home and away side to reveal the aggregate score, with the victor advancing to the play-off final.

To determine the winner of the final, the site analysed the two competing sides’ all time head-to-head record in the league and play-offs against one another and the promoted side was the team with the best points-per-game record.

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Steve Cooper is looking to take Swansea into the Premier League

Their data suggests that Swansea will overcome Brentford in the Championship final, Sunderland will beat Blackpool in the League One final and Forest Green will edge out Tranmere in the League Two final.

If you fancy backing the theory with cold hard cash then Skybet are offering odds of 51/1 for those three sides to earn promotion.

The play-offs begin on Monday, May 17, with all three finals taking place on successive days over the Spring Bank Holiday weekend.

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