Saturday horse racing tips: The 10/1 shot Paddy Power tipster is backing at Newmarket

Saturday’s feature July Cup (4.40pm) at Newmarket offers a fascinating clash of the generations with Wiltshire wizard Martyn Meade’s brilliant Commonwealth Cup hero Advertise heading the market against older rivals including Diamond Jubilee Stakes runner-up Dream Of Dreams.

Three-year-olds have only won four of the last 10 renewals, but have the upper hand in recent seasons, scooping three of the last four, a statistic which lends credence to the theory Cashel conjuror Aidan O’Brien’s Fairyland is overpriced at around 10-1.

The selection could only muster a fifth in the King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot , although that top-class event is over the minimum five furlongs and the additional furlong should be right up her alley this weekend.

Fairyland was in the perfect position last time at the Berkshire sweat bowl, but when pilot Wayne Lordan waved the magic wand a furlong from home, she couldn’t quite go the pace of the other leading combatants.

Before that connections had been attempting to turn their charge into a Classic winner over a mile, only going down by two and a quarter lengths to stable-companion Hermosa in the 1,000 Guineas, but then finishing over eight lengths adrift to the same rival in the Irish equivalent.

Suggesting shrewd O’Brien may have been running her over the wrong distance will shock some readers, but considering Fairyland was a Group 1-winning two-year-old over six furlongs in the Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket, albeit at the other track, she must have a serious shout.

Furthermore the fancy raced over this trip five times as a juvenile, winning on four occasions and the other time coming first of nine in her group on the far side in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot in a race in which the first two past the post raced on the near side.

Headquarters also hosts the Group 2 Superlative Stakes (2.55pm) in which Suffolk sorcerer George Margarson’s Ropey Guest may be the outsider of the eight combatants, but arguably boasts some of the best form of the octet and must have each-way claims.

Horses don’t know their price and, in fact, the selection is relatively well-fancied at around 16-1 this time compared to when he was allowed to go off at 200-1 in the Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot on his last outing.

The dashing son of Cable Bay proved those odds an insult, keeping on well to finish a valiant sixth, a mere two and a half lengths adrift of winner Arizona, one place ahead of Royal Lytham who franked the form in no uncertain terms when landing the July Stakes at Newmarket on Thursday.

Margarson has tutored some fine two-year-olds in the past, perhaps the best being Barathea Guest who was controversially disqualified when passing the post first in the 1999 Grand Criterium in France, and this fellow can bring the glory days back to Graham Lodge Stables.

Ascot’s Summer Mile (4pm) can go the way of last year’s Queen Anne Stakes winner Accidental Agent (6/1) if he deems to race.


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