Tory grassroots activists will try to pressure Theresa May to stand down as prime minister by forcing an extraordinary general meeting to allow a vote of no confidence from party members.
The vote would not be binding on the prime minister but the National Conservative Convention would be obliged to hold the meeting if more than 65 Tory association chairs call for one to be held.
The attempt, first reported by the Telegraph, has been organised by the Conservatives’ London East area chairman, Dinah Glover. The number of signatories has not been disclosed but Glover said she was confident of reaching the threshold imminently.
“It’s a snowball, we will definitely meet the numbers and exceed it,” Glover told the Guardian. “It has been building for a lot of people, people were particularly angry when it became apparent that we were not leaving on the 29th, that was a very low point when we lost members.
“Taking part in the EU elections is also a very physical reminder that Brexit has not been delivered. It is a very public humiliation, as is going into negotiations with Jeremy Corbyn.”
The motion drafted by Glover says the party “no longer feel that Mrs May is the right person to continue as prime minister to lead us forward in the negotiations.
“We therefore with great reluctance ask that she considers her position and resigns, to allow the Conservative party to choose another leader, and the country to move forward and negotiate our exit from the EU.”
An extraordinary meeting of the NCC – the members’ body comprised of around 800 senior party officers – has never been called in the past and members would need to be given at least 28 days notice of the meeting. Party sources also suggested that there would be no obligation to act quickly.
Glover said that there was little campaigners could do to force the party to hold an EGM quickly but that their first priority was to put pressure on backbench MPs and cabinet ministers to act because of the intensity of grassroots feeling.
Prime minister
Theresa May becomes the UK’s second female prime minister. In her first cabinet, Boris Johnson is foreign secretary, David Davis is Brexit secretary, and Liam Fox’s career is revived as international trade secretary. Michael Gove, George Osborne, Oliver Letwin and Nicky Morgan are all removed from their posts.
Lancaster House
May gives her Lancaster House speech outlining Britain’s approach to negotiating Brexit. It sets out the red lines that will continue to cause difficulties with her own party two years later.
Triggers Article 50
Formal notice is given to the EU under article 50 of the Lisbon treaty that the UK intends to leave.
Snap election
Despite having previously ruled it out, May calls a snap general election, accusing opposition parties of trying to jeopardise Brexit preparations. With the Conservatives 21 points ahead of Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour, projections suggest she could secure a majority of 140.
Coughing fit
May’s set-piece speech at the Conservative conference lurches from disaster to disaster, as a cough marrs her delivery, a protestor manages to hand her a P45, and letters start falling off the backdrop behind her.
Davis resigns
After a summit at Chequers, Davis resigns as Brexit secretary over the direction of the withdrawal agreement with the EU.
Withdrawal agreement published
The text of the withdrawal agreement is published. It is approved by the EU two weeks later.
Raab resigns
May loses a second Brexit secretary as Dominic Raab resigns, saying he ‘cannot in good conscience’ support the deal he and the prime minister had negotiated. Esther McVey resigns on the same day.
Confidence vote victory
Although more than a third of her MPs vote against her, May survives a Tory confidence vote. Under party rules she cannot be challenged for another 12 months.
“It is up to the party how quickly they move but from my point of view this is extremely significant that this is happening at all,” she said. “It gives power to the elbow of almost half of the backbenchers that voted no confidence in the prime minister in December and to those who decided it was not the right time but had sympathy with it.
“We are seeking to say, this feeling is growing, we don’t want to take this to an EGM which is a last resort, but we have the numbers.”
May, who has already pledged to step down for the next phase of the Brexit negotiations, cannot face another binding no confidence vote in her leadership until December, a year after she successfully defeated an attempt by MPs to oust her.
However, the Brexit delay has led both Tory grassroots groups and Eurosceptic MPs to attempt to explore other ways of forcing her resignation.
MPs including Mark Francois and Andrea Jenkyns have already submitted further no confidence letters in the prime minister to Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee of backbench Tory MPs and urged him to hold an indicative vote of confidence in the prime minister.
The prospect of such a vote was discussed at length before the Easter recess by the committee, which eventually concluded that it could not take place. The committee has also been asked to present May with a timetable for her departure but it would not be binding on her.
Another option being explored is a little-known method to change party rules which can be kickstarted by a petition of more than 10,000 party members. One member, Soutiam Goodarzi, has started a petition to reduce the 12-month grace period after a no-confidence vote to three months.
However, it is unlikely such a change could be made quickly. The petition would only trigger a postal ballot of members of the NCC, plus MPs, MEPs and peers, which would take place up to two months after the petition would be received.
Two former chairmen of the 1922 Committee have also advised that MPs could change the rules amongst themselves to allow a leadership challenge sooner than December.
Writing in the Sunday Telegraph, Michael Spicer and Archie Hamilton of Epsom said the 12-month rule on no-confidence votes could be changed if MPs agreed to do so. “Conservative MPs are responsible for their party,” the pair wrote. “If they wish to change these rules there is nothing standing in their way.”
Responding to the letter, Brady said he believed that such a change would be possible but said he was “less certain that it would be possible to change the rules during the current period of grace which was initiated with the triggering of a confidence vote on December 12 last year”.
