Politics

UK election: what we know so far – at a glance


Early results

  • At 3am, the tally was Conservative party on 95 seats, Labour on 60, SNP 16, Sinn Féin 4, Liberal Democrats 3, Alliance (Northern Ireland) 1, Brexit party 0. Exit poll predictions of the Labour “red wall” crumbling were coming to pass with key marginals such as Bishop Auckland falling to the Conservatives.

  • The first big upset of the night came in Blyth Valley. The Northumberland former mining town, which has been Labour since 1950, was taken by Tory party local Ian Levy in a 10.19% swing.

  • The biggest scalp of the night so far is Nigel Dodds, deputy leader of the Democratic Unionist party, who lost to Sinn Féin in North Belfast.

  • Big disappointment for Labour in Chingford and Woodfood Green, where Faiza Shaheen failed in her challenge to unseat Iain Duncan Smith.

  • The Brexit party are predicted to get zero seats with Nigel Farage failing in Hartlepool, where he had his biggest chance with party chairman Richard Tice. Labour held the seat but Tice split the leave vote, taking 25.8%, just behind the Conservatives at 28.5%.

  • The second big upset came in the former steel town of Workington, with the Conservatives snatching the seat from Labour. “Workington man” was defined by a thinktank as emblematic of the Tory target voter: older, working-class and a leave supporter. The loss is also significant as Sue Hayman was a member of Jeremy Corbyn’s shadow cabinet.

  • The other end of the “red wall” was also turning blue, with a key Tory target seat in the north-east of Wales, the Vale of Clwyd, taken by the Tories.

  • Darlington was also another brick out of the ‘red wall’ with the Tories taking the seat from Labour.

  • The Conservatives also took Peterborough.

  • Labour’s Chi Onwurah held Newcastle upon Tyne Central for Labour, though with a reduced majority, in the first declaration of the night.

  • There was a gain for Labour in Putney, which it took from the Conservatives.

  • And there was a big win for the Alliance party in Northern Ireland, which has beaten the Democratic Unionist party to take North Down, where Lady Sylvia Hermon had stood in often solo opposition to Brexit.

  • Broadcasters have released exit poll predictions for each constituency – bar those in Northern Ireland – here.

Exit poll

  • Voting closed with a shock exit poll suggesting Boris Johnson was on course to win the 2019 general election with a majority of 86 seats, a catastrophic prediction for the Labour party. The exit poll of 20,000 voters in 144 polling stations put the Labour party on 191 seats, the lowest number since 1935.

  • The Liberal Democrats were forecast to remain more or less static with one extra seat. The exit poll gave the SNP a 95% chance of taking Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson’s seat in Dunbartonshire East.

  • The SNP is predicted to return a thumping 55 out of the 59 seats in Scotland, an increase of 20, meaning a near-wipeout for Labour and the Conservatives and taking Nicola Sturgeon’s party close to the 56 seats it won in 2015.

Exit poll

Key seats

  • Labour seats suggested to be under threat include Bolsover, where Dennis “Beast of Bolsover” Skinner has been the MP since 1970.

  • Others too close to call include Rother Valley, Ashfield, Bassetlaw, Great Grimsby, Don Valley, Stoke on Trent, and North Ashfield. Labour’s Rosie Duffield held on in Canterbury.

Watch out for

  • The most marginal seat in the country, Fife North East – which was won by just two votes by the SNP in 2017 – declares at 4am.

  • Sedgefield, Tony Blair’s former seat, looks set to be a Labour loss – that’s due at 3am.

  • Other seats to watch for include Esher & Walton, where Dominic Raab is predicted as 99% certain to hold (3am); Finchley & Golders Green. where Labour defector and Liberal Democrat Luciana Berger is projected to win (5.30am); and Beaconsfield, where Dominic Grieve is fighting a predicted Tory win (3am).

The pound rises

The pound shot up against the dollar from $1.317 to $1.340, marking its biggest one-day rise since January 2017.



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