YouGov’s final MRP poll of the 2019 general election predicts Britain will be left with a hung parliament yet again, with just a small Conservative majority. If the election were held now the Tories could win 339 seats (22 more than they took in 2017) while, Labour are set to lose 31 seats – falling from 262 in 2017 to 231 – and take 34% of the vote (a six percentage point decrease).
Betfair Spokesperson, Katie Baylis said: “Two days ago the Tories were 1/4 for an overall majority or an 80 percent chance, their shortest odds in two years, but in the last 48 hours and following publication of the MRP poll, their odds have continued to drift and are now at 4/9 a 69 percent chance, while No Overall Majority has shortened to 5/2 from 4/1 on Monday.
“Interestingly, the odds of No Overall Majority are shorter today than they were the day before the last Election in 2017 where it was 13/2 and just a 14 percent chance, compared to today, a 29 percent chance.
“This proves just how much can change in a day and we are expecting to see plenty of movement across all our Election markets in the next few hours as final campaigning takes place.”
While Sporting Index revealed backing a Conservative majority has been the most popular bet this week, but also puts the Tory seats over/under at 340.5, significantly reduced from early projections which had Boris’ party winning upwards of 365 seats.
Jeremy Corbyn looks unlikely to lead a Labour majority government, which can be backed at 25/1, but he’s just 7/2 to head a coalition government and be named Prime Minister after the 2019 election.
Do I have to bring ID with me to vote?
No, you will not need to bring ID with you to vote anywhere in England, Wales or Scotland at this election.
The only part of the UK at which voters need to produce ID is in Northern Ireland.
If someone asks you for ID and tries to stop you voting, report this immediately to the polling staff or a police office.
However, if you are voting anonymously – for instance, if you have been a victim of domestic abuse or harassment – you may have to prove who you are.
To vote anonymously you must have notified your local authority in advance and may be required to produce legal documents to support your case.
Do I have to vote with the pencil provided?
No, you can use the pencil provided or you can bring your own pen to mark your paper.
The Electoral Commission said: “The use of pencils does not in itself increase the likelihood of electoral fraud.
“Legislation has built specific safeguards into the process, such as the requirement for seals to be attached to ballot boxes at the close of poll.
“By law, campaigners are also entitled to be present at that stage and to attach their own seals if they wish.
“At the start of the count, they can then observe those same seals being broken.
“Tampering with ballot papers is a serious offence and if anyone has evidence that ballot papers are being tampered with, they should report this to the police.”