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Poll suggests SNP will continue to dominate in Scotland

A YouGov poll for the Times, published overnight, suggests that the Scottish National Party (SNP) will continue to dominate the Scottish political landscape after the election, with support for the nationalists up at 44% – higher than it has been at any point during the election campaign and up seven points on the 2017 general election result.

Support for the Scottish Conservatives has increased eight points from August to 28%, a revival of their fortunes after the slump that followed Johnson’s election to party leader but not enough to save five MPs.

Seat projections from the poll see the SNP up from 35 to 46, Tories down from 13 to 8, the Lib Dems sticking at 4 and Labour losing all but one of their 7 Mps.

While these findings could have a significant impact on the prospect of a Corbyn minority government, it’s worth remembering just how marginal many of the seats in Scotland are, with a week of campaigning left.

Analysing the results, polling guru John Curtice noted that while the SNP have managed to cross the Brexit divide and largely keep their Leave voters, they have also won Remain supporters from opponents.

“South of the border Labour has been able to advance during the campaign by winning back Remain voters from the Liberal Democrats. However, in Scotland the SNP dominates the Remain vote — more than half (54 per cent) of Remainers support the party, a figure that shows no sign of diminishing. Labour, on 16 per cent, is simply left to share the crumbs with the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats.”





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