Exit poll suggests Labour set for huge landslide win in UK general election – latest live news

Exit poll suggests Labour has won 410 seats, and the Tories 131

Clive Myrie is reading out the exit poll.

Conservatives: 131

Labour: 410

Liberal Democrats: 61

SNP: 10

Reform UK: 13

Plaid Cymru: 4

Greens: 2

‘Labour landslide’: BBC presenters announce election exit poll findings – video


Updated at 

Key events

Fiona Harvey

Fiona Harvey

Rishi Sunak’s U-turns and reversals on net zero had proved “as popular with voters as a root canal”, said Greenpeace as the exit poll showed Labour on course for a landslide victory.

Ami McCarthy, political campaigner at Greenpeace, said:

A strong majority of voters seem to have rejected the Conservatives’ divisive approach to the climate and nature crises and backed parties willing to tackle them.

Sunak signalled his sharp change in direction last September, ahead of the party conference season, vowing to roll back key policies. He stepped up his anti-green rhetoric repeatedly in the following months, culminating in an attack on “environmental dogma” when he called the election in the rain on the steps of Downing Street.

But this approach had been clearly rejected, if the exit poll was correct, green experts said. Ed Matthew, campaigns director at the E3G thinktank, said:

Dependence on oil and gas has driven the cost-of-living crisis. By delaying and damaging the clean energy policies that could cut energy bills, Rishi Sunak pitched the Conservatives against every UK household. It was a catastrophic political blunder.

Shaun Spiers, executive director at the Green Alliance thinktank, said:

British people want a credible plan to make their lives better, and they’ve emphatically backed a party that promises to help the economy grow, create jobs in clean industries and take the climate crisis seriously. Voters have rejected a party which backtracked on its commitments, campaigned against its own record in government, and tried to draw dividing lines around the environment. The new government has a clear mandate from the public to invest in Britain, and to take decisive action towards a greener, fairer and more prosperous country.

Second result – Labour holds Blyth and Ashington

The second result of the night has been announced – Labour’s Ian Lavery has won in Blyth and Ashington.

Reform has come second. The full results are:

  • Labour – 20,030

  • Reform UK – 10,857

  • Conservative – 6,121

  • Green Party – 1,960

  • Lib Dems – 1,433


Updated at 

Full results for Houghton and Sunderland South

And here are the full figures for Houghton and Sunderland South, from PA Media.

Labour hold

Bridget Phillipson (Lab) 18,837 (47.05%)

Sam Woods-Brass (Reform) 11,668 (29.15%)

Chris Burnicle (C) 5,514 (13.77%)

Paul Edgeworth (LD) 2,290 (5.72%)

Richard Bradley (Green) 1,723 (4.30%)

Lab maj 7,169 (17.91%)

11.50% boundary change

Electorate 78,448; Turnout 40,032 (51.03%)

2019 notional: Lab maj 3,271 (7.47%) – Turnout 43,798 (56.97%)
Lab 17,696 (40.40%); C 14,425 (32.94%); Brexit 6,895 (15.74%); LD
2,602 (5.94%); Green 1,183 (2.70%); Others 997 (2.28%)

Reform UK is the new version of the Brexit party, and, on that basis, its share of the vote is up 13 points. Labour’s share is up 7 points, and the Tories’ share is down 19 points.

Hannah Al-Othman

In Barnsley North, the exit poll predicts that Labour’s Dan Jarvis is likely to lose his seat to a former Reform candidate who was dropped by the party last week over alleged racist comments.

On an episode of BBC Question Time on Friday, Reform party leader Nigel Farage disowned three candidates, including Barnsley North’s Robert Lomas.

According to a report in the Times, Lomas had reportedly said that “black people of Britain should get off their lazy arses and stop acting like savages”, and that asylum seekers had it “in their DNA to lie.”

On Saturday, Reform confirmed it had withdrawn support from Lomas and two other candidates. It is understood Lomas would sit as an independent MP.

Jarvis, a former army officer and a shadow minister under Ed Miliband, has been an MP since 2011, when he was elected in a byelection. In 2019, in the previous constituency, Barnsley Central, the Brexit Party came in second place, with Jarvis winning a majority of just 3,500.


Updated at 

Wes Streeting, the shadow health secretary, said he was “delighted” by the “remarkable” exit poll results. He told the BBC:

If we have won this general election, that is historic for the Labour party, but even more importantly, is an opportunity for the country, for us to rebuild our economy and our public services and rebuild trust in politics.

Streeting praised Keir Starmer’s “steel and the determination”, adding that he didn’t think the Labour leader has nearly enough credit for having grabbed the party “by the scruff”.

Although the exit poll suggests Labour is on course to more than double the number of seats it wins, compared to 2019, it seems to be achieving this without a dramatic increase in its share of the vote.

The BBC has shown figures comparing how vote share has changed in seats won by the Tories in 2019, compared to seats won by Labour in 2019, and in the 2019 Labour seats the party’s share of the vote is down 1 percentage point. The Tories are down 17 points, and Reform UK up 10.

In seats the Tories won in 2019, Labour is up 5 points, and the Tories down 28 points. Again, Reform UK is the big winner in these seats – up 18 points.

Swing in Tory-held 2019 seats v swing in Labour-held 2019 seats Photograph: BBC

First result of the night – Labour wins Houghton and Sunderland South

Labour’s Bridget Phillipson, the shadow education secretary, has won Houghton and Sunderland South.

Lisa O'Carroll

Lisa O’Carroll

The Scottish National Party is facing a near wipeout in Westminster after dominating politics north of the border for a decade, as an exit poll suggested it would be left with just 10 MPs.

Scotland’s former first minister Nicola Sturgeon told ITV that the survey showing they would lose 38 constituencies would translate into a “seismic” night for Labour – if it proves accurate. Sturgeon said she believed the results of the exit poll would turn out to be “broadly right”.

The SNP had been expecting a bad night, with first minster John Swinney warning that votes in many constituencies were on a knife-edge. Privately it been hoping for about 20 seats, but the projected 10 would be the worst result since 2010 – prior to the independence referendum.

However, Labour is expecting a Lazarus-style recovery from 2019, its worst result in Scotland since 2010 when it had only one MP.

Polls ahead of tonight predicted Labour would take between 25 and 26 seats, winning seats in the central belt of Edinburgh, Glasgow and their surrounding constituencies.

Ballot boxes are delivered to the Clacton count centre in Clacton-on-Sea. Photograph: Henry Nicholls/AFP/Getty Images
Ballot papers being emptied in Glasgow Photograph: Lesley Martin/Reuters
Activists watching votes being verified at the count at Emirates Arena in Glasgow. Photograph: Andrew Milligan/PA

Jeremy Hunt to become first chancellor to lose seat, exit poll suggests

Jeremy Hunt is projected to lose his seat, according to the exit poll. He would be the first chancellor in modern history to lose his seat.

There is an 81% chance that the Lib Dems will gain Hunt’s seat in Godalming and Ash, according to the poll.

Hunt is the most high-profile cabinet minister predicted to lose his seat – but he is by no means the only one.

Grant Shapps, the defence minister, and Johnny Mercer, the veterans minister, could also lose their seats.

Transport secretary Mark Harper, Work and pensions secretary Mel Stride, Environment secretary Steve Barclay and Commons leader Penny Mordaunt are all “too close to call”, according to the poll.


Updated at 

Prof Sir John Curtice, the psephologist who led the team that produced the exit poll, has just told the BBC that they are least confident about the seat figures for Reform UK (13) and for the SNP (10).

With the SNP, he says they have fewer sampling points in Scotland, making it harder to get a firm forecast. But he says he is confident about Labour being the larger party in Scotland.

And he says, with Reform UK, there are seats where they are ahead, but the margin is very tight. He says they could end up with quite a lot less seats, or perhaps even more.


Updated at 

Welsh secretary says he has lost his seat

Steven Morris

Steven Morris

The Welsh secretary, David TC Davies, has said the exit poll suggests there “isn’t a chance” he’ll retain his seat.

Speaking to the BBC, he said:

On the basis of the exit poll, there isn’t a chance that I’ll be winning, which is disappointing. I’ve had great support from the local association, but the fact is, people wanted a change.

That’s the way it goes in democracy. I’ll be the first to acknowledge there’s going to be a massive Labour victory and I certainly won’t be in parliament at the end of the evening.

Davies had stood for the new seat of Monmouthshire in south-east Wales.

Tory strategists are worried that they could face a wipeout in Wales. They won 14 of the 40 seats at the 2019 election. In 1997 and 2001 they were left with zero seats in Wales but had steadily clambered back.


Updated at 

Peter Mandelson, the Labour peer, said he was “gobsmacked” by the exit poll results and the projected Labour win was an “extraordinary achievement for Keir Starmer and his team”.

“An electoral meteor has now struck planet Earth,” he told the BBC, adding:

In a sense, it’s not surprising given everything the country has gone through in the last 10 years.


Updated at 

William Hague, the former Tory leader and former foreign secretary, has said it will take the Conservative party “a long time” to recover from this defeat.

Speaking on Times Radio, he said the result implied by the exit poll was “catastrophic”, but not as bad as some of the forecasts. One projection said it would get only 64 seats, he said.

With 131 seats, the Tories would “just about” be able to mount an effective opposition, he said. He went on:

The answer will be to build again for the future. The Conservative party at its greatest – as it has been over 200 years, usually the governing party of the country – because it could command the centre ground of politics, people of all walks of life, people of all age groups, and it will have to be able to do that. It will take a long time to be able to do that, but it will have to be able to do that.


Updated at 

Labour’s deputy leader Angela Rayner said the exit poll numbers are “encouraging” but noted that an “exit poll is a poll so we haven’t had any results yet”.

Rayner, speaking to BBC News, noted that a number of seats were on a “knife-edge”, adding:

I also know that all of our activists and our candidates have been going out there not taking anything for granted and speaking to the electorate about what matters to them.

She added that it would be “an absolute honour and a privilege to be re-elected” as an MP for Ashton-under-Lyne and to be able to serve as deputy prime minister.

Rayner also took a moment to thank those who voted for Labour, telling Sky News:

We understand the weight on our shoulders … and I would say to the people of this country, I will always put you first, and I will fight really hard every day to turn things around.

Some candidates suffered ‘unacceptable abuse and intimidation’ during campaign, says Electoral Commission

Some candidates suffered “unacceptable abuse and intimidation” at this election, the Electoral Commission said.

In a statement issued as polls closed, the commission’s chief executive, Vijay Rangarajan, said:

Today, tens of millions of people exercised their democratic right and had their say at the ballot box. Overall, our initial assessment is that polling day ran smoothly and people were able to cast their votes securely. We continue to support administrators as they undertake counts tonight.

Millions of people were able to have their say, but we know there is room to improve the experience for some. A record number of postal votes were successfully returned, but some couldn’t vote both in the UK and abroad because of the late arrival of postal votes.

There was a robust and vibrant campaign, but unacceptable abuse and intimidation of candidates. We will collect evidence from people who participated in these elections as voters, candidates, campaigners and administrators, to better understand their experiences. We will recommend improvements to the systems where necessary.

‘This is a massacre’: former Scottish Tory leader Ruth Davidson on exit poll projection

Ruth Davidson, the former Scottish Tory leader, has described the exit poll as projecting a “massacre” for her party. But it was not as bad as it might have been, she told Sky News. She said:

So actually 131 – while, there is no dressing it up, this is a massacre – they’ve actually, if this is right, pulled a few back from where they thought they were.


Updated at 

Here are some images from the newswires showing reactions to the exit poll predicting a Labour landslide win.

An exit poll predicting that the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer will win 410 seats in Britain’s general election is projected onto BBC Broadcasting House in London on July 4, 2024. Photograph: Oli Scarff/AFP/Getty Images
Party-goers celebrate the exit poll in London. Photograph: Suzanne Plunkett/Reuters

Updated at 

‘Politically seismic’ – Reform UK welcomes exit poll suggesting it will win 13 seats

Ben Quinn

Ben Quinn

Nigel Farage’s Reform UK appeared to be on course for a dramatic breakthrough according to an exit poll which showed it was on course to win as many as 13 seats.

While there was caution about how exit poll would ultimately translate into seats, it was clear that millions of people had voted for the hard-right anti-immigration party, which has stated that it is out to destroy the Conservative party.

Ben Habib, Reform’s deputy leader, said: “This is a huge bridgehead. This is politically seismic.”

The poll results suggest that Farage, who sparked a political earthquake on the right after he returned as leader of the party last month and announced he had changed his mind about running, is on course to win the Essex seat of Clacton.

Richard Tice, Reform’s chair and the man who stepped aside so that Farage could come back, appeared to be in a strong position to win in Boston and Skegness.

Others who were in a strong position included the former Southampton football club chairman Rupert Lowe, who was running in Great Yarmouth.


Updated at 


Leave a Reply

This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you accept our use of cookies.