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Our betting expert with tips including for relegation drama at Goodison and Manchester City at West Ham PLUS a Serie A angle
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It could be party time at Goodison Park tonight.
If Leeds get beaten in their 2pm kick-off, a DRAW against Brentford (4.30pm) will be good enough to guarantee Everton’s survival, bar some unlikely maths.
The Toffees have had a sandwich season – a slice of quality and belief top and bottom, with a bushtucker-trial filling.
Frank Lampard’s resting boss face often gives the impression he’s chewing on a kangaroo b*llock, but he can afford a smile if Everton win this.
Three points would give Lamps the best win rate of any full-fat Toffees chief since Howard Kendall, if you forget about Carlo Ancelotti, and Lord knows they’re trying to.
But Brentford’s win rate is off the scale since Christian Eriksen signed, and the Bees’ set-piece stats threaten an Everton soft spot.
Goodison will be a cauldron and I like OVER 3.5 cards at 5/6 (bet365) – Michael Oliver’s the right whistler for us here.
Take the DRAW at 12/5, and big-price fans want Pontus Jansson ‘anytime scorer’ at 14/1 (Hills, Fred).
Flip-flop warnings are in place today, though whether they apply to Wolves players depends on if they see the Europa Conference as a big deal or a hamster wheel. Still, given the table, even the most Thursday-phobic among them can probably risk beating gutted Norwich (2pm).
At Tottenham, Conte-ball is no great shakes as a can opener, and the DRAW tempts at 17/4 (Bet365) for Spurs-Burnley (12pm).
Jarrod Bowen and West Ham will fancy a run at Manchester City’s make-shift defence (2pm). The DRAW/West Ham ‘double chance’ bet looks big at 9/4 (Skybet).
Take YES ‘both teams score’ at 4/5 (Coral) as a single too – and also roll up that YES bet with a Wolves WIN. The double pays 8/5 (Fred).
Leeds’ discipline is suffering under the strain, ahead of the do-or-die visit of Brighton (2pm).
The worst defence in the Prem must already have looked like a dropped kebab to the Seagulls, who are scoring for fun now and finishing the season at full-cock.
On-fire Leandro Trossard is must-bet material at 7/2 (Paddy) ‘anytime scorer’ – some firms go just 15/8 and who can blame them?
Take a helpful DRAW at 21/10 (Coral, Fred) as Sevilla visit Atletico Madrid (5.30pm) to settle the Euro slots in Spain.
Last week: Winner at 21/20
