EU elections polls show Brexit SURGE – How EU could be at mercy of Brexiteers

Britons will once again head to the ballot boxes next month as the UK is officially listed as participating in the upcoming EU elections. The UK’s participation in the vote comes amid stalling Brexit talks and political deadlock, with Britain now expected to remain in the EU until October 31, 2019. But with the lengthy delays comes further political chaos, as politicians are now forced to begin their campaigns for MEP elections.

Now, a new poll has shown the Eurosceptics could secure a majority in a very clear sign to Theresa May and her Government.

The poll was conducted by the European Parliament and includes a compilation of polls published up to April 15.

The results, published ahead of the May 23 to 26 elections, showed the current pro-EU alliance would win an overall majority.

However, Eurosceptic groups would gain significant ground, particularly when the UK was considered.

READ MORE: How do the European Parliament elections work? An essential guide

Who will win the EU elections?

The European Parliament is made up of 751 members from across the 28 member states.

All these MEPs sit in one of eight political alliances within the Parliament, aligned with those who share a similar political affiliation.

The centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) will remain the largest grouping with 180 seats, which represents 24 percent of the total, down from nearly 29 percent currently, according to the polling.

The centre-left Socialists and Democrats will be the second biggest with 149 seats, equal to 19.8 percent.

The liberals are set to stay third with about 10 percent – 76 seats.

The two most Eurosceptic groups – Europe of Nations and Freedom (ENF) and Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD) – would increase their share of seats to 14.3 percent, the poll said.

A previous survey in March, which did not include the UK, placed the share at 13 percent.

If the polls are correct, ENF would hold to 62 seats – 8.3 percent – and the EFDD (which includes UKIP), would hold 45 seats – six percent.

Polling for the UK’s national parties paints a different picture – with Labour expected to win the lions share, with 19 seats, according to the European Parliament polling.

But with the Conservatives with 12 seats, the Brexit Party in third with ten and UKIP in fourth with nine seats, it seems there is a clear lead among the Brexit supporters.

While a YouGov poll put the Brexit Party on 27 percent, ahead of Labour on 22 percent and the Tories on 15 percent.

The poll prompted a gamble on Nigel Farage’s outfit sweeping up on polling day, with bookies BoyleSports forced to slash their odds of winning most UK seats into 8/11 from their opening quote of 4/1.

The Labour Party were initial favourites but they have drifted from 8/15 to 11/10 off the back of the renewed support for the Brexit Party.

The polling has put a massive dent in the Conservatives’ hopes, as they have now been handed outside odds of 20/1 to take most UK seats.

Lawrence Lyons, Spokesperson for BoyleSports commented: “Nigel Farage looks sure to attract former UKIP voters as well as some Tory Eurosceptics so his new party are becoming a bit of a daunting prospect for us in the Euro elections.

“We had them at 4/1 but the recent polling suggests that was far too generous and now they’re odds-on favourites, this is looking like a much more competitive betting heat than we first imagined.”

At the last EU election in 2014, UKIP, then led by Nigel Farage, was the leading UK party with 26.6 percent.

But Mr Farage’s new Brexit Party has emerged as the one to watch this election as UKIP supporters defect from the increasingly hardline party and throw support behind the push for Brexit.


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