Politics

Election polls surge for Tories as FIVE surveys put Boris in huge lead over rivals


One survey gave Boris Johnson’s party a massive 17-point advantage over Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour, enough for the Tories to win a Commons majority of more than 80 seats. And four other polls all put the Prime Minister and his party significantly ahead of their rivals. The findings come at the start of a crunch week in the race to polling day on December 12, with Mr Johnson facing his first head-to-head live television clash with Mr Corbyn on ITV tomorrow.

A Survation poll for ITV’s Good Morning Britain out today gave the Tories a 14-point lead over Labour last night.

The poll gave the Tories a 42% share of support, with 28% for Labour, 13% for the Lib Dems and 5% for the Brexit Party.

Mr Johnson was backed by 47% of those quizzed in the survey as the best choice to be prime minister while only 17% preferred Mr Corbyn.

Out of a rash of weekend polls, a survey by YouGov gave the most optimistic snapshot of voter opinion for the Tories.

It gave the party a 45% vote share, up by three points since the last YouGov general election survey in the middle of last week.

Labour had a 28% share of support among the 1,670 voters quizzed by YouGov, unchanged from the previous poll.

Jo Swinson’s Lib Dems had 15% and Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party had 4%, both also unchanged from the previous poll.

According to the website Electoral Calculus, the Tories will win a 86-seat Commons majority if the same result is achieved at the election.

An Opinium poll showed a similar spread of support for the parties with a 16-point lead for the Tories. It put Mr Johnson’s party on 44%, up three points from last week, while Labour was down on point to 28%.

The Lib Dems were down one point to 15% while the Brexit Party was unchanged on 6%.

Opinimum said: “The extent to which the Conservatives have been able to attract Leave voters is exceptional, with seven in ten (69%) of all Leavers stating that they will vote for the Conservative party in the December election. 

“This is up 13-points from 56% in mid-October and a massive increase on the 21% of Leave voters who said they would vote for the Conservatives mid-May.”

A Deltapoll survey saw the Tory lead stretch to 15 points from 12 points a week ago.

It put the Tories up four on 45%, Labour down one on 30%, the Lib Dems down five on 11% and the Brexit Party unchanged on 6%.

A Savanta ComRes gave Mr Johnson’s party an eight-point lead with the Tories up one point to 41% since the middle of last week, Labour up three to 33%, the Lib Dems down two to 14% and the Brexit Party down to 5%.

And a BMG Research poll also gave the Tories an eight point lead, with the party up six points since last month to 37%.

Labour support was up three points to 29% over the same period while the Lib Dems were down four points to 16% and the Brexit Party was down two points to 9%.

Robert Struthers, head of polling at BMG Research, said: “With Labour’s poll rating improving slightly over the last few months, so too have perceptions of Corbyn’s own performance.

“This is not to say that the Labour leader should now be considered a popular leader, but he has recovered from a low of -48 per cent in July, rising to -36 per cent in this poll. That being said, the Labour leader remains significantly less popular now than he was one month out from the 2017 election where we recorded his net satisfaction at -17 per cent.”

He added: “Boris Johnson continues to hold a considerable advantage over Jeremy Corbyn in terms of personal approval ratings, with two in five preferring Johnson as the next prime minister, which compares to just a quarter who back Mr Corbyn. 

“One reason for this lead is the fact that many of those who backed Labour in 2017 do not appear comfortable with the idea of the Labour leader entering Downing Street. Three in 10 of those who reported backing Labour in 2017 say they would prefer neither Corbyn nor Johnson to become prime minister, with a further 15 per cent saying they would prefer Johnson over Corbyn.”



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