Politics

Election 2019 forecast: How many seats are needed for a majority?


On Thursday, December 12, voters across the UK will take to the polls to elect the next government. Polls will be open from 7am and will close at 10pm, with results expected to begin coming through in the early hours of Friday morning.

Candidates have been campaigning up and down the country, some joined by famous faces as they hope to gain voters ahead of the election.

With the election just days away, if you have not registered to vote you are too late and cannot vote in this year’s general election.

Party leaders and senior party members have been taking part in televised debates in the weeks leading up to the election, with another scheduled for this evening.

On Friday night, Prime Minister Boris Johnson and Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn went head to head in a debate.

The two leaders faced an hour-long discussion hosted by journalist and former BBC political editor Nick Robinson.

Read More: Nicola Sturgeon loses temper as Piers Morgan skewers her on Corbyn

A Savanta Comres poll of 2,041 British adults said of current voting intention between December 2 and December 3:

  • Conservatives – 42 percent
  • Labour – 32 percent
  • Liberal Democrats – 12 percent
  • SNP – Four percent
  • Brexit Party – Three percent
  • Green Party – Two percent

Betfair Exchange odds show a 72 percent probability of the Conservatives gaining a majority when results come through on Friday, December 13.

Betfair Spokesperson, Katie Baylis said: “With just one week to go until the country goes to the polls a Tory Overall Majority is odds-on at 2/5 or a 72 percent chance on Betfair Exchange, with No Overall Majority at 3/1 and just a 26 percent chance and Labour at 45/1 (2 percent).

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“The Lib Dems, who were also expected to play a big part in the outcome of the election have failed to impress the punters during their campaign.

“Their odds were as short as 10/1 in July on the Most Seats market, but are now out to 499/1, while they are 999/1 for an overall majority after being as short as 20/1.

“Furthermore, last month they had been odds-on at 1/6 to get more than 25 seats, but they’re now out to 3/1 to do that and are odds-on at 4/6 to secure just 10-19 seats.”

Betfair Exchange – General Election Most Seats

  • Conservative – 1/25
  • Labour – 23/1
  • Liberal Democrat – 499/1



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