Covid-19 infections, hospitalisations and deaths are falling fast across Europe but the risk of a deadly autumn resurgence remains high as societies open up and the more transmissible Delta variant advances, the World Health Organization has warned.
Urging people and governments to exercise “caution and common sense” over the summer, WHO Europe’s regional director, Hans Kluge, said community transmission was still widespread and would continue as travel and social gatherings increased.
We’ve been here before. Last summer, cases gradually rose in younger age groups, then moved into older age groups, leading to a devastating … loss of life in the autumn and winter of 2020. Let’s not make that mistake again.
Katy Smallwood, senior emergency officer, said the Delta variant first detected inIndia was particularly concerning.
It is not yet prevalent in the European region, but in some countries has already displaced the dominant Alpha variant.
We’ve seen very significant evidence of significantly higher transmissibility, we’ve seen initial basis for increased risk of hospitalisation, and we’ve seen some evidence of immune escape, especially after only one dose of vaccine.
Our assessment is that this does pose a significant risk in terms of community transmission.
Kluge said a new WHO campaign, Summer Sense, wanted people to “enjoy the summer, but safely … If you want to travel, think about the need. If you decide to, do it safely”.
Governments must “make use of a better epidemiological situation to further increase testing, tracing, hospital capacity. Learn the lessons from last year”.
Both officials warned that while the region was now vaccinating at a much faster rate, with 30% of people having received at least one dose and 17% fully vaccinated, coverage “was still far from sufficient to protect the region from a resurgence” and “many among vulnerable populations above the age of 60 remain unprotected”.
Kluge said the region had so far recorded 55 million infections and 1.2million deaths, but had now seen cases, hospitalisations and deaths fall for two consecutive months, with 368,000 new cases were reported last week, barely 20% of the April weekly figure.
Thirty-six of the region’s 53 countries were now easing restrictions, he said. “But we are by no means out of danger,” he warned, calling for “everyone to exercise caution, reduce risks and keep safe” while they enjoy the summer.
If you choose to travel, do it responsibly. Be conscious of the risks. Apply common sense and don’t jeopardise hard-earned gains. Wash your hands, keep a distance, choose open settings, wear a mask.
To avoid a repeat of last year, he said, governments must “stick firmly to protective measures … even as cases decline” by acting fast on any signs of increasing cases, expanding testing and sequencing and stepping-up contact tracing.
Government’s top priority must be to “continue protecting the elderly, people with comorbidities and frontline workers”, he said, noting that the risk of severe disease or death in children is up to 800 times lower than in people aged 70 years or over.