CHELSEA are most likely to face Barcelona in the Champions League last 16, according to the calculations.

The Blues ended their group stage campaign with a 2-1 win over Lille  and 11 points – but still managed to only finish second in Group G.

 The permutations for the Champions League last 16 draw

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The permutations for the Champions League last 16 draw
 Chelsea are most likely to face Barcelona in the Champions League last 16

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Chelsea are most likely to face Barcelona in the Champions League last 16Credit: Reuters

Frank Lampard’s side must now face a team who finished top of their group.

And the calculations say Chelsea have a 23.28 per cent shot of landing the La Liga champions – the highest chance of any team to face any other team in the entire draw.

The Stamford Bridge side cannot face Liverpool or Manchester City – who topped their groups – as rules forbid teams from the same nation being drawn together at this stage of the competition.

Chelsea also can’t face Valencia, as they were in the same group together – giving them just five options in the last 16.



Along with Barcelona, they could face Juventus (21.67 per cent), Bayern Munich (18.9 per cent), Paris Saint-Germain (18.18 per cent) or Red Bull Salzburg (17.98 per cent) – ensuring they have a tricky route to the quarter-finals.

Meanwhile, Tottenham are most likely to land Valencia in the upcoming draw with a 22.61 per cent shot.

Barcelona (22 per cent), Juventus (20.72 per cent), RB Salzburg (17.34 per cent) and PSG (17.33 per cent) complete their list.

Amongst the other English teams, Premier League-leaders Liverpool are most likely to face Atletico Madrid – a 22.4 per cent likelihood.

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The rampant Reds could also draw Real Madrid (21.58 per cent) Borussia Dortmund (20.62 per cent), Atalanta (18.44 per cent) or Lyon (16.97 per cent).

Meanwhile, Man City are most likely to face Atleti too, also with a 22.4 per cent shot.

Their numbers are identical to Liverpool for Real, Dortmund and Lyon – but they’re an 18.44 per cent shot to come up against Napoli.

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