Politics

Brexit Party polls: How many seats will the Brexit Party get? Latest electoral forecast


On Thursday night Brexit Party founder Nigel Farage faced Andrew Neil in the latest BBC interview of party leaders. It came the same day four Brexit Party MEPs attended a press conference in Westminster and spoke out against Mr Farage’s Brexit strategy.

In total three of the MEPs resigned on Thursday, and the fourth – John Longworth – was sacked by the party on Wednesday for reportedly having “repeatedly undermined” Mr Farage’s election strategy.

The four spent an hour picking apart Mr Farage’s General Election strategy in front of journalists on Thursday.

Last month, Mr Farage decided to stand down candidates in 317 constituencies where the Tories had been victorious at the 2017 election.

Mr Farage said at the time: “The Brexit Party will not contest the 317 seats the Conservatives won at the last election.

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“We will concentrate our total effort into all the seats that are held by the Labour party, who have completely broken their manifesto pledge in 2017 to respect the result of the referendum, and we will also take on the rest of the remainer parties.

“We will stand up and fight them all.”

He said this strategy was dependent on Mr Johnson abiding by his promises to deliver Brexit and getting Brexit Party MPs into parliament to keep the pressure on him.

Mr Farage said in November: “We are going to keep saying: remember you told us we were leaving at the end of 2020.

In third are the Liberal Democrats with 14 percent of the vote or 13 seats, then the SNP with three percent of the vote and 43 seats.

A Savanta Comres poll carried out between December 2 and December 3 also projected the Brexit Party taking three percent of the vote.

The poll of 2,041 British adults said of current voting intention

  • Conservatives – 42 percent
  • Labour – 32 percent
  • Liberal Democrats – 12 percent
  • SNP – Four percent
  • Brexit Party – Three percent
  • Green Party – Two percent

Betfair Spokesperson, Katie Baylis said of next week’s election: “After starting their campaign with a bang, the Brexit Party has failed to live up to their own hype and today’s resignations show that they are not the force Nigel Farage had hoped for.

“The party is now odds-on at 2/7 on Betfair Exchange not to win a single seat after being odds-on at 2/5 to win at least one in October.

“Incredibly, they had been as short as 12/1 in June for an overall majority, but with the wheels starting to fall off their campaign they are now at 999/1.”

Betfair Exchange – General Election Most Seats

  • Conservative – 1/25
  • Labour – 23/1
  • Liberal Democrat – 499/1

Betfair Exchange – General Election Next Government

  • Conservative Majority – 2/5
  • Labour Minority – 9/1
  • Conservatives Minority – 14/1
  • Lab/SNP Coalition – 19/1
  • Labour Majority – 45/1
  • Lab/LD/SNP Coalition – 31/1
  • Cons/Brexit Party Coalition –69/1



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