Mr Farage’s grassroots Eurosceptic movement would have won a mammoth 414 seats in the House of Commons, if Thursday’s historic result translated into general election constituencies. Chris Hanretty, Professor of politics at Royal Holloway, University of London, analysed how each individual constituency in England, Scotland and Wales voted in the European Parliament election. The data, conducted for ITV, was then equated into seats in parliament. It found Mr Farage would be handed the keys to Number 10, after masterminding what would be the biggest general election victory since Tony Blair’s New Labour in 1997.
The Brexit Party would command a huge majority in the Commons after wiping out the Tory vote following Theresa May’s disastrous handling of Britain’s stumbling exit from the European Union.
If the EU election was replicated the Conservatives would be obliterated and lose an extraordinary 312 seats and be reduced to just one MP.
Jeremy Corbyn’s party would also be annihilated and be reduced from 246 parliamentarians to just 67.
The Liberal Democrats was set to be the only other party to make significant gains after a strong showing in the EU election where it commanded 20 percent of the national vote and winning in London.
The Remainer party was predicted to gain 65 seats in parliament, increasing its count from 11 to 76.
The Brexit Party has turned Westminster upside down after winning a huge 32 percent of the vote on May 23 and getting 29 MEPs elected into the Brussels parliament.
Following the comprehensive victory, Mr Farage said his party was now ready to field candidates in all 650 UK constituencies if a general election were to take place.
The former Ukip leader stated the two-party system was for the “first time in real trouble”.
The leading Brexiteer also urged the government to fulfil the wish of the 17.4 million people and leave the bloc on October 31, or risk another backlash at the polls.
Mr Farage said: “If we don’t leave on that day, then you can expect the Brexit Party to repeat this kind of surprise in the next general election.”
However the research by Mr Hanretty should be met with caution as trends in European and local elections does not generally transpire to general elections.
Turnout in EU elections is typically much lower and can be used as a protest vote where smaller parties tend to benefit.
Further research by Lord Ashcroft, which forecast how different people will vote in a general election compared to an EU election, found support for the Brexit Party would fall from 32 percent to just 18 percent.
For the Tories their share from the EU vote would double from nine percent to 18 percent.
Labour is forecast to command the highest vote share and increase from 14 percent to 21 percent.
Meanwhile the Lib Dem vote would fall by three percent from 20 to 17 percent.
Lord Ashcroft study asked 10,280 UK voters across the UK between May 23 and 24.
Anushka Asthana co-presenter on ITV’s Peston show analysed the figures from the former Tory deputy chairman and insisted it is difficult to equate it into seats under the first-past-the-post voting system.
In 2015 UKIP received 4 million votes but gained just one seat in parliament.
Ms Asthana said: “Difficult to say what that would mean in terms of seats but I can tell you when Ukip got 13 percent in 2015 almost 4 million votes they came second in 120 seats but first the only result that matter under our system in just one.
She added: “Our two main parties can thank their lucky stars we have first-past-the-post.”
