Politics

Boris Johnson holds talks in Belfast as Sinn Féin says Brexit boosts case for united Ireland – live news














Boris Johnson accused by Sinn Fein of being ‘complacent’ about damage Brexit would cause to Ireland





Sinn Fein accuses Johnson of being ‘complacent’ about risks to Ireland from no deal Brexit









The Scottish Conservatives have said they will not “deal with hypotheticals” after the SNP challenged Ruth Davidson to give “a cast-iron guarantee” that her MPs will vote to block a no-deal Brexit.

The SNP’s Westminster leader Ian Blackford has written to Davidson, pointing to suggestions that her opposition to a no deal Brexit is “little more than meaningless empty rhetoric …a cynical PR exercise designed to distance you from Boris Johnson, in the knowledge that the Tory party is tanking in the polls in Scotland and came fourth place in the European elections on just 11%”.

The letter comes after Boris Johnson visited Scotland on Monday, meeting both first minister Nicola Sturgeon and Davidson, who warned the prime minister on the eve of his visit that she could not support a no deal Brexit. The read-out from their meeting was resolutely reassured, saying that she backed his Brexit strategy “wholeheartedly”. The meeting was, the Guardian understands, overwhelming positive, and covered a lot of ground in terms of how Westminster can best serve Scotland.

Responding to Blackford’s letter, a Scottish Conservatives spokesman said:


We’re not going to jump ahead 15 stages or deal with hypotheticals – everyone’s focus is getting a deal done with the EU that can get through parliament.

But the fact remains that Davidson has quite a circle to square. Should Johnson call a general election on a platform of no deal, how will she stand, given her own stated opposition and the knowledge that – as Blackford points out – her party in Scotland has lost significant numbers of votes to the Brexit party? Will she call on her own MPs to vote against the prime minister? And how does she sell Johnson and his so-called ‘war cabinet’ to those centre right voters who signed up to her re-framing on the Scottish Tories?





Ireland would lose 34,000 jobs under no deal Brexit, says central bank of Ireland

The economic shock of a disorderly Brexit in Ireland would employment shrink by 34,000 jobs, the country’s central bank has said.

In its quarterly bulletin (pdf) it says GDP growth for 2019 would be reduced from 4.9% to 4.5% if there was a crash out on 31 October, but the country would suffer a massive hit 2020 with growth falling from 4.1 to 0.7 per cent.

Household and business spending would fall while exports would fall “due to an immediate and large reduction in demand from the UK and the fall in sterling”.

“As a result, by the end of 2020 our estimates suggest that there would be around 34,000 fewer jobs in the economy compared to the level of employment that could be realised in a no-Brexit scenario,” it says.

However it warns that “there is an unavoidably high degree of uncertainty” about the modelling of its forecasts because Brexit is without precedent.

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