Saturday’s racing highlights come from Newcastle where the big Betfair-sponsored meeting’s highlight is the Northumberland Plate. I’ll come to that race in a bit but I’ll start with the Betfair Backs Racing Welfare Chipchase Stakes (13:50) where the one I will be backing is Sir Michael Stoute’s Mubakker.
This very lightly raced horse could well be capable of running in and winning a Group 1 by the end of the season. He won so easily on his seasonal debut over this course and distance back on June 2 that you have to think he’s on a massive upward curve.
Mubakker won that race off a mark of 95 and is now rated 104, which still leaves him with plenty of pounds to find on official ratings with the highest-rated being Brando, who goes off 115.
But given the trainer’s record of getting horses to improve from their first run of the season and progress heavily from three to four, then that 11lb deficit can easily be bridged. That is even more the case given there’s a chance Brando would be on the downgrade. He clearly goes well here and on a slow AW surface too, while the stable is bang in form.
I think Mubakker is a very interesting runner and I will be backing him at 85/40.
For he’s a jolly good Fellows
The main event of course is the Northumberland Plate at 15:35 and although it doesn’t look like a vintage renewal there will be a winner among the runners.
Trainer Charlie Fellows may have had this target in mind for Carnwennan ever since the horse comfortably won the Northumberland Vase (Plate Consolation race) on this weekend last season. The team have been enjoying a good time lately, rounding off Royal Ascot with winners from his last two runners at the meeting.
Both were making their seasonal reappearances at the Royal meeting and Carnwennan will be also making his seasonal bow.
For a trainer going so well and having been prepared for the race, the lack of a recent run is certainly no negative, and could actually work in his favour, as quite a few of the likely opposition have had fairly tough races in the last two weeks. At 6/1 I think he is worth taking a chance on.
Kent and Frankie looks a winning combination
Away from Newcastle, Mark Johnston has booked Frankie Dettori on Vale Of Kent in the 14:40 at Newmarket. He’s put up two massive races this season already – unlucky against stablemate Marie’s Diamond first up and then running a massive race under a huge weight in the Royal Hunt Cup when leading the field for a very long way and still managing to get fourth. This drop in trip in the hands of a pace-making genius in the shape of Frankie should be ideal and if he gets this horse out in front, settled and not using too much of himself in the early stages he’ll be able to kick on from the front, get a couple of lengths and may not be caught. He looks like a nice bet.
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